Why Your FTP Is Dropping (Even Though You’re Training Consistently)

Why Your FTP Is Dropping (Even Though You’re Training Consistently)

The Climb (#168)

Before we get into this…

If you’re reading this and thinking:

“This sounds exactly like me”

I help cyclists over 40 structure their training, manage fatigue, and improve performance without burning out.

If you want help applying this properly, you can apply for coaching here

Now let’s break this down.


You’re riding regularly.

Mixing:

  • Zone 2
  • intervals
  • maybe strength or CrossFit

You’re consistent.

And yet:

  • FTP drops
  • Sessions feel harder
  • Progress stalls

This is where most people get frustrated.

But there’s a clear explanation.


The Hidden Problem: Too Much Stress, Not Enough Recovery

Training creates a stimulus.

That stimulus causes fatigue and micro-damage:

  • muscle fibre breakdown
  • glycogen depletion
  • nervous system fatigue
  • hormonal stress (cortisol increase)

Fitness doesn’t happen during training.

It happens during recovery.

This is known as the supercompensation effect:

  1. Training → fatigue
  2. Recovery → adaptation
  3. Adaptation → increased fitness

But if recovery is incomplete…

You stay stuck in the fatigue phase

And over time performance declines despite consistent training


Why FTP Can Decrease (Even When You’re Improving)

FTP is often misunderstood.

It’s not just a measure of fitness.

It’s a snapshot of your current physiological state:

Performance = Fitness – Fatigue

So even if your fitness is improving…

If fatigue is high your FTP test result will be lower


1. Fatigue masks fitness

When fatigue accumulates:

  • muscle glycogen is depleted
  • neuromuscular efficiency drops
  • central nervous system output is reduced

This leads to reduced ability to sustain power.

Research shows that accumulated fatigue reduces motor unit recruitment, meaning fewer muscle fibres are contributing to the effort.

So even if your engine is bigger you can’t access it.


2. Poor fuelling kills performance

Cycling performance is heavily dependent on carbohydrate availability.

Muscle glycogen is your primary fuel source for:

  • tempo efforts
  • threshold work
  • VO2 intervals

If glycogen is low:

  • power output drops
  • perceived exertion increases
  • heart rate rises disproportionately

This is known as cardiovascular drift, where:

Your heart rate climbs to maintain the same power output

Even in a 60–75 minute session, low glycogen = reduced performance.

Check out a recently newsletter where we discuss this in more detail.


3. Recovery dictates output

Recovery is driven by:

  • sleep quality
  • hormonal balance
  • nervous system regulation

Sleep, in particular, plays a huge role.

During deep sleep:

  • growth hormone is released
  • muscle repair is accelerated
  • glycogen stores are replenished

Studies show that sleep restriction:

Reduces time to exhaustion
Increases perceived effort
Decreases power output

So if sleep is compromised, performance will follow.


The Garmin Problem Most Cyclists Miss

Devices like Garmin estimate training load based on:

  • heart rate
  • session intensity
  • training history

When your load is consistently high, your body enters a state of functional overreaching.

Initially, this can improve fitness.

But if sustained without recovery, it leads to non-functional overreaching.

This is where:

  • performance drops
  • recovery slows
  • fatigue accumulates faster than adaptation

So when Garmin suddenly shows:

  • “recovery”
  • “detraining”

It’s not random.

It’s detecting that your system is no longer adapting to the load


The Mistake Most Cyclists Make

They underestimate total stress load.

Training stress isn’t just physical.

It includes:

  • psychological stress (work, life)
  • metabolic stress (nutrition, fuelling)
  • mechanical stress (training volume/intensity)

All of this feeds into your allostatic load (total stress on the body).

If that load exceeds your recovery capacity and adaptation stops.


The Principle: Balance Stress and Recovery

The goal isn’t more training.

It’s better balance.

Adaptation = Stress applied at the right dose + adequate recovery

Too little stress means no progress.

Too much stress means no recovery

The sweet spot is where:

Stress is enough to stimulate change and recovery is enough to absorb it.


How To Fix It (Practical Takeaways)


1. Look at your total weekly load

Training load should be managed using:

  • volume (hours)
  • intensity (zones)
  • frequency

But also:

  • sleep
  • nutrition
  • life stress

If performance is declining, your total load likely exceeds your recovery capacity.


2. Stop stacking intensity

High-intensity work drives:

  • lactate accumulation
  • sympathetic nervous system activation
  • hormonal stress

CrossFit + intervals = compounded stress

This leads to prolonged recovery time.

A better structure:

  • 80% low intensity
  • 20% high intensity

This is supported by polarised training models, shown to improve endurance performance.


3. Make easy days actually easy

Zone 2 training improves:

  • mitochondrial density
  • fat oxidation
  • capillary density

But only if it stays truly aerobic.

If you drift too high, you increase fatigue without increasing adaptation.


4. Prioritise recovery like it’s part of training

Recovery strategies directly influence:

  • glycogen resynthesis
  • muscle repair
  • hormonal balance

Key targets:

  • 7–9 hours sleep
  • structured rest days
  • low-intensity recovery sessions

5. Use data to guide you

Metrics like:

  • CTL (chronic training load)
  • ATL (acute training load)
  • TSB (training stress balance)

Help you understand, readiness vs fatigue.

A negative TSB (high fatigue) often correlates with reduced performance.


6. Test when you’re fresh

Testing should reflect fitness, not fatigue.

To do that:

  • reduce load beforehand (taper)
  • ensure glycogen stores are full
  • prioritise sleep

This allows maximal power output.


The Shift That Changes Everything

Most cyclists think:

“I need to train harder”

But performance isn’t built by doing more.

It’s built by applying the right stress… and recovering from it.


Final Thought

If your FTP is dropping…

It’s not a sign to push harder.

It’s a signal. Your body isn’t absorbing the work you’re doing

Fix that…And you unlock the progress you’ve been chasing.


Whenever you're ready, here are the ways I can help you:

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